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Record Numbers of Illegal Immigrants STILL Crossing at the Southern Border

Customs and Border Protection reports that in recent months, following months of news reports on President Trump’s effort to build a wall and close the Southern Border that record numbers of undocumented families are crossing our southern border. Long term statistics show that the number has been steadily rising for at least three years—but that this year has seen explosive growth.

In February alone, over 36,000 illegal immigrants were taken into custody while crossing the southern border. The number of people captured crossing the border illegally traveling with family far exceeded the number of individuals crossing alone by nearly 6,000. That is to say, more undocumented immigrants are traveling as families than are traveling alone.

The overall number of illegal immigrants reached an 11 year high, according to a report by Katharina Buchholz of Statista. In fact, more people have been apprehended crossing the border illegally in February of this year than were apprehended in the entirety of 2018.

Buchholz writes, “Recently, more immigrants that are coming across the Southern U.S. border have traveled from countries in Central America, like Honduras, Guatemala or El Salvador, while undocumented immigrants from Mexico remain the largest group…Family units have been traveling as part of larger groups of up to 100 people, which have been branded as “migrant caravans” by different media outlets. Customs and Border Protection said they had apprehended groups of 100 or more people on 53 occasions since October on the U.S.-Mexico border.”

According to her chart, the spike of illegal border crossings follows a patterned increase. But the final spike on this most recent uptick in illegal border crossings has been much sharper than it was in previous years. The trend seems to follow a consistent three-year pattern that begins at around 10,000 illegal border crossings and peaking three years later at around 50,000 to 60,000.

This year, it has already capped out at just under 70,000. But we are only two years into the cycle at this point. We still have another year to go- if the pattern holds- until illegal border crossings return to the baseline of between 10,000 and 30,000.

Illegal border crossings fell to a 10 year low at the start of 2017. Numbers returned to their normal mid-cycle high about one year ago, and are now higher than they have been since 2014.

Immigrants traveling alone and those traveling in family groups follow the same patterns of frequency and the same patterns of change. In other words, when fewer families enter- individual migrations decrease at the same rate. This tells us that whatever it is that slows the illegal immigration of individuals is the same thing that slows that of families. If we could pinpoint the cause of the change in rates- we might actually have a chance of solving the problem of illegal immigration.

Is it changes in economic conditions south or north of the border? Is it changes in border security?

In an address on the border security crisis, President Trump said, “We have requested more agents, immigration judges, and bed space to process the sharp rise in unlawful migration fueled by our very strong economy.”

According to President Trump, the uptick in illegal immigration is due to America’s growing economy. This could be an adequate explanation. The rates of illegal immigration have remained the same. The cycles exhibit the same profiles for the three-year cycle- but the overall numbers are up proportionally.

The consistency seems to indicate that factors inhibiting immigration are stable. These would be border security, primarily. It is the illegal immigrant population itself that is pushing harder to gain entry. It’s a bit like holding your thumb over the end of a hose and then turning up the pressure.

However, it is interesting to point out that during the migrant caravan crisis that started around October of 2018, there were reports that aid groups were urging the caravan on. These groups were offering food and medical support as well as passing out literature describing the benefits the migrants would have access to once they successfully crossed the border.

At the same time, criminal gangs were pursuing the caravan, robbing and kidnapping vulnerable individuals from the edges of groups of travelers. Other criminals were offering transportation to caravan members, only then to hold them for ransom- or selling them to human traffickers.

Sadly, there are no official numbers available on how many travelers in the caravan were kidnapped, killed, assaulted, raped or otherwise assailed by the predatory groups who preyed on them. All we have are those who emerge and are captured on the northern side of the border. And they aren’t talking.


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47 Responses

  1. This shows that there is a crises all along the Southern Border is really a problem. I really feel sorry for these people, but with the possibility of tens of thousands people trying to illegally enter AMERICA will bring undo harm to our economy. As much as I do not like foreign aid we would be better to help the countries.

  2. Like!! I blog frequently and I really thank you for your content. The article has truly peaked my interest.

  3. We are not inhuman racists, but what are these poor people bringing to this country? They say they are needed labor for the American economy.. BULL! What state of health will these people be in to do any work ,; not to mention their spreading deadly serious diseases that they had or contracted on the way?????NO MORE ; BESIDES CHARITY BEGINS AT HOME!! This is not about racism , this is survival for all.

  4. Where is Zero tolerance for illegal crossing??? Migrants suppose to wait behind the border to get the permission to cross the border! Everybody has to wait legal or illegal person!

  5. Stop bringing EVERYONE to free beds and food into our borders. We can’t take anymore. Send ALL WOMEN, CHILDREN BACK ACROSS TO MEXICO. They are destroying AMERICA FROM INSIDE OUT.

  6. It is sad. I come from and married into a family legal immigrants. Get it legal…they applied, they had representation, they stayed upon entry for health checks and vaccination, they were released to en joy America by being greeted by a responsible person who was providing a residence and given a job, of lesser or grater value….nonetheless a job. They had a dream and they worked hard with patience and diligence to become citizens of this great country. They raised their children, who raised their children all with pride to be an American.. we need to build the wall and regain control of the process of coming to this great country. Our Country is not a free for all for those looking for an easy solution to their problems, diseases and lack of respect for our laws.

  7. My opinion on why is they know the border is going to have some sort of wall and when it does they wont be able to get here illegally. It will stop the coyotes from making money so why not push it now.

    1. WE AMERICANS ARE SICK OF THESE DISEASE RIDDEN, 50 TO 100 IN A PACK WITH WOMEN AND CHILDREN, AND YOU PEOPLE NO WHY!!! DEMOCRATS WANT THE BOARDERS LEFT OPEN, GOOD THAT’S WHERE YOU ALL NEED TO BE. ME I THINK THEY NEED TO BE TURNED AROUND GIVE THEM A FOOD BAG AND SEND THEM ON THERE WAY, I CARE ABOUT MY FAMILY, I THINK DEMS FORGET THIS IS THE USA, NOT A BOARDER COUNTRY.. YOU WANT THESE PEOPLE TO VOTE, NO WAY!! YOU WANT VOTER AGES LOWERED HOPING YOU WILL GET MORE VOTES, IT’S OK WITH U DEMS TO MURDER UNBORN BABIES THE OLDER THE BETTER RIGHT?? I KNOW I HEARD GOD SAY…..WHO’S GOING TO SAVE THE BABIES?? WE WILL ALL BE ON ARE KNEES ONE DAY IN FRONT OF THE KING OF KINGS! GO FOR IT…

  8. “In fact, more people have been apprehended crossing the border illegally in February of this year than were apprehended in the entirety of 2018.” And this iilegal immigration NEVER get resolved since the Reagan era in the mid 1980s. Series of amnesty programs were inplemented and to date nothing is resolved. This is the US greatest weakness and the terrorists and other countries are taking note of this with the help of MSM who are anti-Trump 24/7. It’s a time bomb waiting to happen from self-destruction inside out. A sad trend. No wonder the US is becoming a 3rd world country – homelessness, dirty streets with poops and low skilled labor. So build the wall NOW. How many more decades of evidence needed?

  9. Oh, but my (d) Congressman (Sarbanes) says that a wall is not needed – he even quotes his side’s media as proof!

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