One prominent Vegas oddsmaker has released odds on who will win the Presidency in 2020. While the very top of the list isn’t all that surprising, there are some very surprising names a little further down.
At the top of the list with odds to win the Presidency listed at +175 is Donald Trump. This is unsurprising given that incumbent Presidents are historically likely to win a second term over their much less well-known challengers. Also, since Trump is unlikely to have any primary challengers within the GOP his odds are better than anyone else’s right out of the gate.
After Donald Trump, the next person most likely to win the Presidency in 2020 is Kamala Harris – a rising star in the Democratic party that is already expected to be Trump’s most difficult opponent in 2020. According to BetOnline, Harris is listed at +1200 odds to win the Presidency.
The next Republican to make the list is Mike Pence. Should President Trump step down, choose not to run again, be impeached, or otherwise be unable to run for President in 2020, the Vice President would become a natural choice to take his place on the ticket. Pence’s odds are listed at +1400.
When you move down to the next Republican on the list, though, is when things get surprising. After Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the next Republican most likely to win the Presidency in 2020 is the Daily Wire Editor in Chief Ben Shapiro. Ben Shapiro’s odds to win the Presidency in 2020 are listed at +3300, beating out the odds of other prominent Republicans such as Nikki Haley (+4000), Paul Ryan (+6600), and Marco Rubio (+6600).
Ben Shapiro has teased about the possibility of him running for the Presidency before, though most of the time it has been in a joking manner. He has certainly not given any indication that he would be willing to run as early as 2020, even if President Trump was no longer in the picture.
Nevertheless, there are a few reasons to take the possibility of a Ben Shapiro Presidency seriously. The first is the size of his following and his popularity among younger conservatives. Right now, you’d be hard-pressed to find a conservative whose star shines brighter than that of Shapiro.
If Shapiro did run, he’d have more than just his massive popularity to help propel him to the White House. Ben Shapiro is one of the most talented and articulate debaters in all of politics. Should he somehow manage to make it onto the Presidential debate stage, he would be likely to make quick work of anyone who challenged him.
Of course, Ben Shapiro isn’t the only person on the list that is eyebrow-raising. BetOnline listed Oprah Winfrey as having +2500 odds of winning the Presidency, Michelle Obama as +3300 odds, and Hillary Clinton as +6600 odds.
Should President Trump choose to run again in 2020 – as he has already said he will do despite the most ardent wishes of his liberal opponents – the odds of any other Republican taking the White House are incredibly slim.
In this scenario, the 2020 general election will almost certainly come down to Trump vs a prominent Democrat such as Kamala Harris (listed at +1200 odds), Bernie Sanders (listed at +1200 odds), or Elizabeth Warren (listed at +1400 odds) with the slim chance that he ends up facing off against a more surprising opponent such as Oprah Winfrey or Michelle Obama.
Should Trump not run in 2020 for whatever reason, though, all bets are off. In this scenario, the three Republicans most likely to win the Republican Primary become Mike Pence, Ben Shapiro, and Nikki Haley, in that order. Without a doubt, it would make for an election that would have all the potential to be even more shocking than the one in 2016.
Outlined below is the full odds released by BetOnline:
Kamala Harris: +1200
Bernie Sanders: +1200
Elizabeth Warren: +1400
Mike Pence: +1400
Joe Biden: +1600
Kirsten Gillibrand: +2000
Cory Booker: +2500
Oprah Winfrey: +2500
Ben Shapiro: +3300
Michelle Obama: +3300
Nikki Haley: +4000
Hillary Clinton: +6600
Paul Ryan: +6600
Marco Rubio: +6600
~ Freedom News Report